Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.864245 2.131915 2.425866 2.772866 3.171616 3.615878 4.148934
2025-07-13 1.520609 1.898484 2.352368 2.938846 3.678364 4.582252 5.774557
2025-07-20 1.276668 1.691573 2.221206 2.949164 3.927531 5.202339 6.998369
2025-07-27 1.137770 1.582626 2.179512 3.042684 4.265532 5.945689 8.446331
2025-08-03 1.002957 1.454323 2.086362 3.041204 4.456825 6.493224 9.672158
2025-08-10 0.890262 1.339400 1.992626 3.018679 4.602948 6.977696 10.847379
2025-08-17 0.790771 1.229996 1.891089 2.966845 4.690364 7.372607 11.918373
2025-08-24 0.731667 1.174124 1.861847 3.018757 4.937992 8.032630 13.476216
2025-08-31 0.679990 1.123367 1.833506 3.065831 5.178002 8.699079 15.113837
2025-09-07 0.622183 1.055892 1.770126 3.045866 5.299914 9.176100 16.473322
2025-09-14 0.565275 0.983744 1.691040 2.989066 5.348927 9.527567 17.641652
2025-09-21 0.519985 0.926914 1.632017 2.960017 5.441440 9.960675 19.002022
2025-09-28 0.468850 0.858519 1.552780 2.898999 5.493205 10.370032 20.461523
2025-10-05 0.454926 0.857192 1.595490 3.072342 6.013775 11.734709 24.010525
2025-10-12 0.421214 0.814615 1.556446 3.083168 6.217236 12.506166 26.459265
2025-10-19 0.401581 0.796711 1.561830 3.181100 6.605553 13.692149 29.943364
2025-10-26 0.372875 0.757534 1.521020 3.179550 6.786064 14.468096 32.640675
2025-11-02 0.344953 0.716855 1.472648 3.155962 6.915355 15.148162 35.214800
2025-11-09 0.317024 0.673161 1.413360 3.101682 6.969656 15.668146 37.487127
2025-11-16 0.301476 0.654183 1.404046 3.156044 7.274797 16.789823 41.362952
2025-11-23 0.286765 0.635447 1.393180 3.205340 7.573621 17.932737 45.457247
2025-11-30 0.267828 0.605315 1.354019 3.184433 7.702472 18.685613 48.666212
2025-12-07 0.247792 0.570654 1.301145 3.124951 7.729781 19.192761 51.303829